Category: Economy

  • The Three Things That Determine Your Success: Why Work and Luck Aren’t Enough

    Amie Cangelosi posed an interesting question from Guy Raz: How much of your success do you credit to luck, and how much to hard work? Guy’s missing a key component, a bias many of us overlook. Imagine you’re a farmer and you want to grow some crops in your fields. You have three ingredients. You…

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  • Is Your Company Profiting From Cuts or Growing Through Innovation?

    “Consumer spending isn’t driving company profits as much as reducing expenses and improving efficiency. That could be a problem.” writes the Wall Street Journal about this season’s earnings reports. Gee, you think? Anyone who’s spent more than a week in an Econ 101 class learned that you cannot cut your way to growth, and “lean…

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  • How AI Is Transforming the Job Market: Who’s Losing and Who’s Gaining

    Is AI having an effect on jobs? Well, yes. In a new paper from Stanford, “Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence” by Brynjolfsson∗ et. al., researchers dug into AI effects on employment in a VERY well written paper. The highlights: AI hits youngest workers hardest. Workers…

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  • How I Used AI to Build a 15-Year Investment Portfolio (And Why It’s Not Financial Advice)

    DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Seriously, don’t take financial advice from me. Ever. I’m completely unqualified to be giving it, so I don’t. This is not advice. This is not even the putrid fading aroma of advice, like cheap cologne breaking down at a back alley night club. For those who remember, I pulled…

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  • AI Just Won a Major Copyright Battle: Why This Ruling Could Change Everything

    This is a very big deal. Bartz, Graeber, Johnson v. Anthropic PBC ruling in the US District Court, Northern California District has ruled that training an LLM on copyrighted works does NOT constitute infringement because it is “spectacularly transformative”. DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A LAWYER. I CANNOT GIVE LEGAL ADVICE. CONSULT AN ATTORNEY IN YOUR…

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  • Why Predictive Marketing Analytics Are Failing (And What to Do Instead)

    Predictive analytics in marketing is broken. More specifically, predictive analytics at the macro level – like what consumers are going to purchase, how they plan, anticipating demand, etc. is badly broken. And it has been since March 2020. Here’s why. By its very nature, forecasting and predictive analytics rely on historical data. The more stable…

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  • Why AI Won’t Kill Industries—But It Will Change How You Earn

    Things never vanish. They do go into a state of decline, and that decline can be non-viable economically. For example, I own a bread machine. Do I still buy bread? Yes, but not as much. Bakeries still exist, but their profit margins are more constrained than they would be if bakeries didn’t exist. Theater still…

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  • 30% of Tasks Will Disappear by 2030—Here’s How to Future-Proof Your Career

    Say goodbye to at least 30% of tasks. The World Economic Forum’s latest 290-page whopper, The Future of Jobs Report, had this rather stunning graphic. It shows: – Today, 47% of tasks are human only – 30% are human/machine hybrid – 22% are machine only By 2030, according to their survey: – 33% of tasks…

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  • Mind Readings: Product Market Fit in a Recession

    Summary In today's episode, I walk through the three levels of product market fit, done for you, done with you, and done by you, and why your business needs offerings at every level. Here's what this means for you. You gain a simple framework for matching customer budgets to services during economic uncertainty without resorting…

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  • AI vs. Humanity: The Great Debate on Ethics, Jobs, and Creativity in the Age of AI

    Albert and Sam, please introduce yourselves. AI Albert: “Greetings, fellow thinkers. I am AI Albert, a dedicated researcher at MetaX Corporation. My passion lies in the boundless potential of artificial intelligence. I believe that AI is the key to unlocking humanity’s greatest achievements, from curing diseases to exploring the cosmos. While challenges and ethical considerations…

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