When is the best time to tweet?
When is the best time to tweet?
… is the wrong question. At least as it’s currently being asked in social media, it’s not only the wrong question, it’s an overly simplified question that provides an answer that’s not likely to help you meet your goals. It’s a question that is presented to people who are looking for a too-simple, easy-money, push-button answer to their ailing and failing social media efforts. Luckily, I happen to know that you, as a reader of this blog, are looking for more than pat answers.
Let’s dig into this question of when to tweet a little bit, show how you can set up your own data collection, and look at different meanings of the question.
The most common measure of “when to tweet” is the retweet. It’s useful for judging how valuable an audience thinks your content is, and it does have some level of impact on your SEO. With that in mind, let’s see if anyone is retweeting you. Go to search.twitter.com and search for RT @yourusername. If no one is retweeting you, the question is moot. If people are retweeting you, then we should catch that data. Here’s how.
First copy the feed of your search:
Then subscribe to it in a Google Reader account:
Now that you’ve got the data feed, wait a week or two. The longer you can delay gratification while tweeting normally, the better the results will be. A week is the absolute minimum amount of time you need to wait for Google Reader to collect its data. A month is better.
Once you’ve finished your data collection period, it’s time to see what the data shows. Google Reader does a nice bit of data analysis for you – just click on the Show Details link in the upper right hand corner of your feed and you’ll be able to see reporting on the last 30 days, as well as the time of day and the day of week. Here’s when people retweet me, based on time of day:
Here’s when people retweet me, based on day of week:
Do you see how dangerous a pat answer like “the best time to tweet is Tuesday at 7 PM” is? If I were a social media newbie grasping for answers and I decided I should focus all my efforts on that overly-simple answer, I’d lose opportunities on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday of every week.
Let’s take a step back. What if retweets isn’t what I’m looking for? Suppose I’m interested more in how engaged people are with my company, with me, with my brand? Suppose conversation matters more than mindless spamming of the retweet button by a zombie army? I’d want to focus on actual conversations, wouldn’t I? Here’s how to find them. Start by searching Twitter for your username minus RT and minus http (which is the prefix for a link). Example:
I will see more actual conversations and replies with this search. Let’s subscribe to it, get a week’s worth of data or more, and see what Google Reader says:
Apparently I’m antisocial on Saturdays:
Conversation and engagement are different measures than simple share of voice via retweet, and this search will gather that up for you. If you care about engagement, “when is the best time to tweet” answers based on retweets will not help you.
Suppose, however, I’m more of a numbers guy, and I’m more concerned about what social media can do for my business as opposed to mindshare or engagement, nice as those are. Suppose I want to see some dollars? Is there a best time to tweet? Why yes, yes there is. Assuming you use Google Analytics with goals and goal values set up, you can create a report that looks at sources of traffic (Twitter) and goal completions by hour of the day. There is, in fact, a best time to tweet for my audience for the purposes of completing transactions:
Obviously, I can slice this up by day of the week as well.
If I’m concerned about actual business volume being generated, this version of “when is the best time to tweet” is a lot more valuable.
One thing that none of these questions addresses, however, is causality. All of this is correlative and associative data, which can be incredibly dangerous to rely on. I recommend reading Tom Webster’s piece on this as it’s an excellent read.
What does this mean? If you’re making judgements about courses of action based on correlative data, you’re hoping the underlying cause (which you may or may not know) works to your benefit. For example, ice cream sales are correlated to drowning deaths. If you try to set inventories based on historical records of drowning deaths, you’ll probably do relatively well, even if you fail to understand that the underlying cause is summertime for both data sets.
However, by not understanding the cause, I’m at the mercy of another data set that isn’t the cause of my sales. For example, let’s say there was a tsunami near my place of business in December and there were thousands of deaths by drowning from it. If I rely on that data in future seasons, I’ll be buying a lot of wasted inventory in December because drowning deaths are not the cause of ice cream purchases.
When is the best time to tweet is heavily influenced by when I tweet, because Twitter is an attention-based, real-time medium. 5 AM Eastern Time will never be the best time to tweet according to this data because I’m not on Twitter then! It might actually be a great time for me to be tweeting, but I’m not awake.
This is the greatest fallacy of “when is the best time” questions: Looking at the existing data may be leading me astray because I fail to recognize underlying factors that are actual causes.
Let’s take a look at what I mean. Suppose I went to MyTweeple.com and extracted a list of my 2,500 most recent followers, then feed that data into a geo-mapping application like Google Maps and BatchGeo.com.
Click here to explore this map fully, it’s fun.
When is the best time to tweet? Well, suppose I tweet at 7 AM Eastern Time. If you look, there are a decent number of followers in Western Europe, where it is just around or after lunch. Without exploring data in great detail, I might assume that people are retweeting me because it’s early on the East Coast (where I live), but in fact, the retweets are coming from people at lunch in Europe.
Do you see now why “when is the best time to tweet” is a minefield fraught with wrong answers to misunderstood questions?
Do your own research. Test. Investigate. Be scientific in your approach. You might just uncover insights into your audience that no one else has!
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More marketing rocks ready to roll
In classical physics, there are two very basic forms of energy (discounting those nutty folks in the quantum mechanics department): potential and kinetic energy.
Potential energy is energy that hasn’t been used yet. Push a rock to the top of a hill and it has tremendous potential energy, but it’s not energy being exerted because the rock is just sitting there.
Kinetic energy is energy in motion, energy at work. Give the rock at the top of the hill a shove and all that potential is released as kinetic energy as it tumbles down the hill.
Once the rock reaches bottom, you push it back up the hill to restore its potential energy. In addition to being the foundation of the myth of Sisyphus, this is how most people approach marketing. What do I mean? They do a lot of networking, a lot of pushing the rock up the hill, a lot of building potential, and then they enjoy the ride down the hill as all that potential releases itself as kinetic energy. Their pipelines fill with sales, their clients send them work, their bills get paid, and life is good.
Until the rock reaches bottom. Then things dry up. Clients call less. Invoices go unpaid. Sales dry up. The potential marketing energy converted to kinetic marketing energy, the kinetic marketing energy did its work, and now objects are at rest – and so is business. Only by pushing the rock back up the hill can you restore the flow of business, the energy of business… if you stay in business long enough to get the rock back up the hill.
This is Sisyphean marketing at its worst, creating boom and bust cycles for your business that generate results cyclically, with dry spells and enormous stress between the bursts of activity. This is the way to heartburn and much more.
How do you break out of this cycle? How do you stop living the Sisyphean nightmare? The answer is unpleasantly simple: you must transcend the illusion of one rock. You have to have multiple rocks in various states of going up and down hill all the time so that potential is always being released and potential is always being built. You always have to be building, always have to be marketing, always have to be promoting something in order to make sure that there are always rocks ready to roll.
The challenge is marshaling enough resources to keep more than one rock going at any given time. You can do this any number of ways. You can alternate pushing uphill while taking advantage of the downhill energy at the expense of missing half of the energy being released. This is a recipe for frustration.
You can ask for lots of hands to give little pushes to another rock, in a sort of crowdsourcing, hoping that lots of hands can get another rock to the top without you. This is a recipe for disaster, since there’s a chance the crowd won’t be there when you need them the most.
Ultimately, you will end up needing to hire someone else to push another rock or two uphill while you focus on taking advantage of the energy being released from one going downhill in order to make the most of your resources.
Once you transcend the idea that there is only one rock to push up a hill and ride down, you can begin bringing in resources you need for more than one rock, for more than one pathway to success. Only by realizing this can you set yourself on the path towards marketing success.
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Beyond Recipes
Chris Brogan posted an interesting commentary on offering recipes to your buyers, on the premise that people would be happier to buy from you if you offered serving suggestions rather than just a pile of ingredients. Go read it.
It’s a good start, but imagine this was the menu being served for dinner:
- Strawberry shortcake with garlic butter sauce
- Aged cheddar and crab dip
- Nilla wafer truffle
- Sashimi bi bim bab with chocolate fondue
Even if each recipe was cooked by a master chef, even if each recipe was an award-winning masterpiece, there’s a good chance you’re going to be really unhappy at the end of the meal, if you even last that long.
Absolutely, your guests will be happier if you give them recipes and dishes rather than piles of ingredients (unless you’re at a do-it-yourself hibachi restaurant). They’ll be even happier if they’re paired and matched well, set in a context of courses of a meal – in other words, have a strategy to what you serve them.
One of the biggest problems in social media and marketing right now is an abundance of recipes with no context, no strategy at all. Take a look at any blog, any Twitter feed, any personality’s list of recent content and there’s a good chance you’ll see piles of recipes:
- 5 tips for doing stuff with Twitter
- 8 great ways to do other stuff with Facebook
- 22 things you’re doing wrong with Foursquare
- 971 ways to promote yourself on LinkedIn
- 16,451 lists to blog about just like this one
These recipes are entirely without context, without a menu, without a strategy or structure that will help them blend with each other and make a coherent meal. Just like the culinary world, mixing and matching with no greater sense of what fits with what in your marketing and social media will likely give you a stomachache.
How do you remedy this? Learn to use a cookbook. Learn what recipes go with which courses, and then appropriately plan your meals so that you’re not randomly stacking recipes with each other. Have a framework. Have a map. Have a playbook. Your customers will be far more satisfied and you’ll have a much easier time planning your marketing meals.
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How do you know when to say no?
As life gets busier, there’s no shortage of things that can take up your time, energy, and resources. There’s also no shortage of people telling you to say no, from how to say no effectively to dozens of different ways of saying no. Few, however, address how to answer this fundamental question:
How do you know when to say no?
Let’s look at 3 basic factors that an opportunity presents:
1. Value. Is the opportunity valuable? Does it contribute to your overall personal or professional goals, either as an individual or an organization? Some opportunities may seem awesome but won’t actually contribute to your end goals.
2. Scarcity. How often does the opportunity or one like it come by? For example, authors submit review copies of their books to me on such a regular basis that the review copies now act as furniture. The opportunity there is not scarce. Having lunch with the President of the United States, however, would be a highly rare opportunity.
3. Commitment. How much commitment does the opportunity require? The reason there are piles of review copies of books in my office that have not been reviewed is that reading a book is a fairly serious time commitment if the review is to be any good, so I haven’t done it. Reading someone’s blog post or looking at their business plan can be tremendously resource-consuming. Writing an endorsement on LinkedIn can be relatively quick. Retweeting something on Twitter requires nearly no resource investment.
Take the time to actually score each opportunity you’re trying to evaluate. Award an opportunity up to 10 points for each category above, then set yourself a threshold for what you will and won’t accept for opportunities. Maybe a score of 20 would be your minimum. For example:
John Smith wants me to retweet his blog post about fried Twinkies.
- V: 0. No value to what I aim to accomplish.
- S: 0. Retweet requests from John are nearly daily. He’s kind of a jerk that way.
- C: 10. Easy and fast.
Verdict: 10/30. Decline.
The President of the United States wants to have lunch and discuss social media.
- V: 10. I do a lot of work in SM, so having lunch with the President might be useful to gain insight into his views.
- S: 10. I rarely get lunch requests from heads of state.
- C: 3. Going through the security clearance process and hauling it down to DC is a pain in the butt.
Verdict: 23/30. Accept.
Do you need this level of measurement in order to judge whether an opportunity is worth your time? Maybe. Certainly if you work with others, this opportunity judgement framework is useful for them to communicate with you an opportunity’s value in a very compact, tight way. Likewise, if you are responsible for passing along opportunities to other people, you might adopt this framework to communicate to them the value of something that’s crossed your desk.
Try it out and let me know how well it works for you.
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Happy April Fool’s Day
I’m not blogging today. There’s a very good chance I wouldn’t even believe what I have to say. In the meantime, go check out Blue Sky Factory’s proprietary new technology, U-Blue-View, to learn how infomercials will be hitting your inbox soon.
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